Project Overview
Project aim
Different stakeholders from around the world have a common challenge to monitor forest carbon stock and sink comprehensively, accurately and cost-effectively. However, the specific requirements vary between users. This project will develop user-centric approaches that meet the varying user needs in forest carbon monitoring to shift economies towards carbon-neutral futures.
We aim to develop and implement a prototype of a monitoring and accounting platform with consistent results on carbon stock. The platform aims to act as a prototype of an operational system for standardised forest biomass and carbon monitoring, offering:
- A selection of statistically robust monitoring methods designed for accurate large-scale and small-scale carbon accounting, removing barriers that prevent fact-based decision making regarding forest carbon stocks.
- Cloud processing capabilities, unleashing the potential of the increased volumes of high-resolution satellite data and other large datasets for forest biomass and carbon monitoring
Monitoring carbon fluxes on a large scale is a prerequisite to create a viable carbon market. A single platform that is open and commonly shared will enable to quantify carbon with comparable results worldwide. This will help policy-makers shape better decisions based on more accurate data. It will also support policy implementation on national and international levels through improved reporting and verification capabilities. Companies require means to respond to increasing carbon monitoring requirements, and tools to assess carbon resources and carbon trading. Commercial forest carbon monitoring services can be offered for private sector along institutional forest monitoring activities.
The outcomes of this project will assist and promote carbon accounting, which will influence important environmental, economic and social decisions worldwide.
Technical goals and challenges
A particular point of interest will be the development of a statistically sound approach for the accuracy assessment of forest carbon monitoring. The accuracy of forest resources estimation with remote sensing has been expressed with variable approaches, which has made it difficult to evaluate the true reliability of the results and compare different mappings of forest biomass.
The monitoring system will be built on the Forestry TEP cloud processing platform, forming a foundation for operational forest carbon services. These services will enable reliable Measuring, Reporting and Verification (MRV) processes for forest carbon, following the IPCC Good Practice Guidance (GPG) and guidelines that are further defined in the Methods and Guidelines Document (MGD) of the Global Forest Observation Initiative (GFOI).
Key features of the concept and platform to be developed in the project include:
Close integration of field data and remotely sensed data.
Process-based forest ecosystem carbon modelling integrated into the system, allowing future inclusion of additional carbon flux and forecasting features.
Flexibility towards user requirements ranging from private company carbon balance monitoring to continental level analyses.
Main Drivers
Environmental
Climate change, biodiversity loss, eutrophication, and pollution are some of the global environmental issues affecting forests and driving the need for change. As a consequence, carbon sequestration and carbon emission monitoring become crucial in the effort of reducing the impact of human activity.
Social
Businesses and individuals in Europe are increasingly willing and able to pay for carbon credits, driving the need for trustworthy product certifications and overall higher visibility on the topic.
Political
The regulatory landscape includes several recent policies requiring geospatial monitoring, i.e. the Paris Agreement, EU LULUCF Regulation, and the Renewable Energy Directive. At the same time, governments are willing to invest in high-tech solutions to mitigate and avoid carbon emissions’ negative impact and properly handle land-related CO2 fluxes.
Economic
Most organizations are now aware of the consequences for their brand if they do not adopt more sustainable business practices, and how customers recall their actions. For a forest carbon-credit market to be achievable, cost-effective carbon monitoring needs to be enabled at the level of forest estates at reasonable costs. Furthermore, there is the need to validate carbon impact to support claims and/or commitments.
Technological
New and cheaper technologies and an increasing time-series of images and data are becoming available, allowing to process high resolution satellite data. More and more technology-based products are desired, as they facilitate multiple data collection process and their cost-efficiency.
Background
Forests are in a key role in the fight against climate change. Managed forests can restore increasing carbon stocks while simultaneously providing a sustainable supply of products, which are renewable, recyclable and have a smaller carbon footprint than several substitutes. In addition to carbon, the forests of the world are essential elements in maintaining healthy ecosystem interaction and biodiversity on Earth.
Several international and national initiatives require regular reporting of forest biomass and carbon. These include most importantly the initiatives related to the:
- Paris Agreement of the Conference of Parties (COP) of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), which involves sinks and reservoirs of greenhouse gases, including forests, and encourages action to support the REDD+ global climate change mitigation framework and incentive mechanism.
- European Union’s LULUCF Regulation (2018/841), which represents the EU legislative framework for emissions and removals accounting from the land use sector for the period 2021-2030. The Regulation is the third pillar of EU climate action, alongside the EU Emissions Trading System and the Effort Sharing Regulation (2018/842).
- UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDG), where forests are important assets in reaching the objectives of particularly the goal 13: ‘Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts’. Forests are seen as one of the key assets in developed countries to increase carbon sinks.
- EU Green Deal, which is expected to result in reforms in the policy environment, which will promote market-based mechanisms to enhance carbon sinks and land use in the forest sector. Certification schemes for carbon farming and carbon removals are expected to be formulated under the proposed EU New Forest Strategy for 2030.
In addition to government level actors, private companies from local businesses to global corporates are paying increasing attention to carbon neutrality and are looking at various ways to reduce and compensate their carbon footprint. There is an urgent need for related services, applications and solutions that will increase significantly in the coming years.
Project structure and timeline
The project starts with user requirements gathering and review of the state of the art in satellite based forest carbon monitoring. This will lay foundation for the selection and development of the most appropriate algorithms for forest carbon monitoring, uncertainty assessment and validation procedures for various user profiles.
In the system development phase, optimal algorithm chains for various user profiles will be developed using . Processing pipelines will be implemented into the Forestry TEP platform. Prototype products will be created and reviewed together with the project user partners.
The last year of the project will focus on system piloting through demonstration cases. These include local cases aimed for private companies, regional to national cases for administrative agencies and a European wide demonstration for international agencies. The performance of the system is evaluated together with the user partners and a cost benefit analysis will be performed. A roadmap for further development will be defined.
